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AUD/USD: Recovery or Rejection? (1 Viewer)

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 AUD/USD: Recovery or Rejection? (1 Viewer)

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RaKotU

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Market Context
AUD/USD is stuck between US dollar strength and shifting risk sentiment. The pair recently bounced from support but hasn’t confirmed a full recovery yet.


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Key Technical Zones

Support:

0.6500 – 0.6520 (major liquidity area)

0.6450 (next downside target if rejection continues)


Resistance:

0.6620 – 0.6650 (critical decision zone)

0.6700 (bullish breakout level)



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Recovery Scenario (Bullish)

Price holds above 0.6520 and breaks 0.6620.

Higher lows form on H1/H4.

Risk-on sentiment improves (stocks recovering, USD softening).
Upside targets: 0.6660 • 0.6700



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Rejection Scenario (Bearish)

Price fails at 0.6620 – 0.6650.

Sellers push price back below 0.6520.

Risk-off conditions or strong USD data.
Downside targets: 0.6480 • 0.6450



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Trading Ideas

Buy only above 0.6620 with momentum.

Sell rejections at 0.6650 or breakdowns below 0.6520.

Watch risk sentiment: AUD is highly sensitive to equities & commodities.
 
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