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Bitcoin Quantum Fears Date Back to 2011 (1 Viewer)

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 Bitcoin Quantum Fears Date Back to 2011 (1 Viewer)

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⏳ Bitcoin & Quantum Computing: Why the Fear Isn’t New​

🗓️ The Concern Started as Early as 2011

  • As early as 2010–2011, cryptographers and early Bitcoin developers were already discussing a theoretical risk: 👉 powerful quantum computers could one day break Bitcoin’s cryptography
  • Forum posts, mailing lists, and early research papers mention this risk long before Bitcoin had real value
So yes — quantum fear is not new, it has existed since Bitcoin’s infancy.


🔐 What Part of Bitcoin Is Vulnerable?​

Bitcoin relies mainly on:

  • ECDSA (Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm) → protects private keys
  • SHA-256 → used for mining and hashing

⚠️ Theoretical Risk​

  • A sufficiently powerful quantum computer running Shor’s algorithmcould:
    • Derive a private key from a public key
    • Potentially steal funds after a transaction reveals the public key

❗ Important:​

  • This would require millions of stable, error-corrected qubits
  • Today’s quantum computers have hundreds to a few thousand noisy qubits ➡️ We are decades away from this capability

🧠 Why Bitcoin Hasn’t Panicked in 14+ Years​

1️⃣ Quantum Threat Is Not Immediate

  • No existing quantum computer can break ECDSA
  • Even optimistic estimates put the risk 20–30+ years away

2️⃣ Bitcoin Can Be Upgraded

  • Bitcoin is not frozen in time
  • It can:
    • Migrate to quantum-resistant signature schemes
    • Soft-fork or hard-fork if needed (as done before)
This has been discussed since 2011.


🧾 What About Satoshi’s Coins?​

  • Satoshi’s early coins used old-style outputs
  • If quantum attacks ever became real:
    • Those coins could be vulnerable only if moved
  • Many believe they would simply remain untouched or be rendered unspendable
This is not a network-breaking risk.


📉 Why Quantum Fear Pops Up During Market Stress​

You’ll notice:

  • Quantum FUD resurfaces during bear markets
  • Or when Bitcoin dominance rises and sentiment weakens
It’s often:

  • Psychological fear
  • Not a near-term technical threat

🧩 Reality Check (Very Important)​

ClaimReality
Bitcoin can be broken soon❌ No
Quantum threat is new❌ Discussed since 2011
Bitcoin can’t adapt❌ False
Funds are at immediate risk❌ No
Quantum risk is theoretical long-term✅ Yes

🧠 Bottom Line​

✔️ Quantum fears around Bitcoin have existed since 2011
✔️ No quantum computer today poses a real threat
✔️ Bitcoin has time — and upgrade paths — to adapt
✔️ This is a long-term cryptography issue, not a 2025 risk


 
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