Bullish Scenario (Most Likely if USD Weakens Late 2025)
If the Fed starts cutting rates + EU economy stabilizes:
EUR/USD can rise toward
1.10 → 1.12 → 1.15
Bearish Scenario (If USD Stays Strong Longer)
If inflation stays high in the US:
EUR/USD may stay stuck in 1.06 – 1.09
Or even drop to 1.04 – 1.05
Technical Behavior
EUR/USD is a range pair most of the year:
Buy near support
Sell near resistance
Unless a breakout.
If the Fed starts cutting rates + EU economy stabilizes:
EUR/USD can rise toward
1.10 → 1.12 → 1.15
Bearish Scenario (If USD Stays Strong Longer)
If inflation stays high in the US:
EUR/USD may stay stuck in 1.06 – 1.09
Or even drop to 1.04 – 1.05
Technical Behavior
EUR/USD is a range pair most of the year:
Buy near support
Sell near resistance
Unless a breakout.