USDJPY - Correction or Reload Before the Next Push?

RaKotU · 2025-12-17T16:26:01+00:00

1️⃣ Current Price Context USD/JPY is trading near 155.20–155.50, slightly lower after recent gains. The pair is consolidating after touching recent highs, suggesting a potential correction or “reload” for another bullish leg. 2️⃣ Technical...

RaKotU

Member

Amateur

Dec 17, 2025

Current Price Context

USD/JPY is trading near 155.20–155.50, slightly lower after recent gains.
The pair is consolidating after touching recent highs, suggesting a potential correction or “reload” for another bullish leg.

Technical Analysis

Support Levels

155.00: Near-term support, previous swing low
154.50: Stronger support, confluence with 100-hour SMA and prior consolidation zone
154.00–154.20: Secondary support, weekly trendline support

Resistance Levels

155.80–156.00: Recent highs, key resistance for the next push
156.50–156.80: Psychological and technical resistance for medium-term bulls

Indicators

RSI: ~54 → slightly neutral, momentum not overextended
MACD: Flattening → indicates short-term consolidation
Moving Averages: Price above 50 and 100-hour SMA → medium-term uptrend intact

Fundamental Drivers

BoJ Policy: Market pricing for December rate hike supports USD/JPY upside
US Data & Fed Expectations: Weak US data may reduce USD strength, limiting upside temporarily
Risk Sentiment: Yen tends to strengthen in risk-off conditions, weakening USD/JPY

Price Action Scenarios

Scenario 1 — Correction

Trigger: Break below 155.00, confirming short-term retracement
Targets:
- 154.50 → first stop for buyers
- 154.00 → secondary support
Implication: Market consolidating before deciding next trend; could shake out weak positions

Scenario 2 — Reload / Bullish Continuation

Trigger: Price holds above 155.00 and forms bullish reversal candlesticks
Targets:
- 155.80–156.00 → retest recent highs
- 156.50 → next potential bullish extension
Implication: Pullback absorbs sellers, sets up for another upward leg

Trading Strategy Ideas

Wait for confirmation:
- Observe how price reacts to 155.00 support
- Use candlestick patterns (hammer, bullish engulfing) for entry signals
Stop-Loss / Take-Profit:
- Long positions: Stop below 154.80
- Short positions (if correction breaks): Stop above 155.80
Scale Positions:
- Consider partial entries near 155.00 to manage risk while waiting for confirmation

Summary

USD/JPY is at a key decision point: small retracement could be a healthy correction, or a reload for a bullish push.
Support at 155.00 is critical; holding it favors continuation of the uptrend.
Break below 154.50–154.00 could signal a deeper correction.
Market sentiment, BoJ signals, and US data are key determinants for the next directional move.

Click to read more...

USDJPY - Correction or Reload Before the Next Push? (1 Viewer)

Currently reading: USDJPY - Correction or Reload Before the Next Push? (1 Viewer)

RaKotU

Current Price Context​

Technical Analysis​

Support Levels​

Resistance Levels​

Indicators​

Fundamental Drivers​

Price Action Scenarios​

Scenario 1 — Correction​

Scenario 2 — Reload / Bullish Continuation​

Trading Strategy Ideas​

Summary​

"S'all Good, Man."​

"Perfection Is The Enemy Of Perfectly Adequate."​

"Money Is The Point!"​

"I Travel In Worlds You Can't Even Imagine."​

"Say Nothing, You Understand? Get A Lawyer!"​

“Confidence is good. Facts on your side, better.” ​

“Facts are facts.”​

“Sometimes the good guys win.”​

“I’m not good at building shit, you know? I’m excellent at tearing it down.”​

“Money is not beside the point… Money is the point.”​

“Whoa, whoa. Hold up. What the hell happened to you? I get it, the first rule of Fight Club, right?”​

“A good magician never reveals his secrets.”​

“Got to look successful to be successful.”​

“The lesson is, if you’re gonna be a criminal, do your homework.” ​

“If I had to do it all over again, I would maybe do some things differently. I just thought you should know that.”​

“Some men aren't looking for anything logical. They can't be bought, bullied, reasoned or negotiated with. Some men just want to watch the world burn.”​

"Ernest Hemingway once wrote, "The world is a fine place and worth fighting for." I agree with the second part."​

“There’s no better way to destroy someone’s life than to uncover their secrets.”​

“Hackers are breaking the systems for profit. Before, it was about intellectual curiosity and pursuit of knowledge and thrill, and now hacking is big business.”​

“Hackers often describe what they do as playfully creative problem-solving.”​

“Computer hackers do not need to know each other’s real names, or even live on the same continent, to steal millions in mere hours."​

“While many hackers have the knowledge, skills, and tools to attack computer systems, they generally lack the motivation to cause violence or severe economic or social harm.”​

“Very smart people are often tricked by hackers, by phishing. I don’t exclude myself from that. It’s about being smarter than a hacker. Not about being smart.”​

“At the end of the day, my goal was to be the best hacker.”​

“Humiliation is the favorite currency of the hacker.”​

“The hacker didn’t succeed through sophistication. Rather he poked at obvious places, trying to enter through unlocked doors. Persistence, not wizardry, let him through.”​

"Rules. Without Them We Live With The Animals.”​

“Consider This A Professional Courtesy.”​

"I've Lived My Life My Way, And I'll Die My Way."​

"You stabbed the devil in the back, and forced him back into the life that he had just left."​

"You Want A War, Or Do You Want To Just Give Me A Gun?"​

"Leave one wolf alive and the sheep are never safe."​

"When you play the game of thrones, you win or you die. There is no middle ground."​

"It's not easy to see something that’s never been before: A good world."​

"I believe in second chances. I don't believe in third chances."​

"If you only trust the people you grew up with, you won't make many allies."​

"A man with no motive is a man no one suspects. Always keep your foes confused: If they don't know who you are, what you want—they can't know what you plan to do next."​

"Never forget what you are, the rest of the world will not. Wear it like armor and it can never be used to hurt you."​

"I try to know as many people as I can. You never know which one you'll need."​

"It's hard to put a leash on a dog once you've put a crown on its head."​

“Everything before the word ‘but’ is horseshit.”​

“A lion doesn’t concern himself with the opinions of a sheep.”​

“Nothing FUCKS you harder than time.”​

“You pray for rain, you gotta deal with the mud too. That’s a part of it.”​

“I’d be more frightened by not using whatever abilities I’d been given.”​

“Luck is where opportunity meets preparation.”​

“If you have an enemy, then learn and know your enemy, don’t just be mad at him or her.”​

“Every failed experiment is one step closer to success.”​

When you work on a computer your hands travel 20 kilometres a day!​

Fugaku supercomputer is the world’s fastest computer. The $1-billion supercomputer has 7,630,848 cores, requires 29,899 kilowatts of electricity, and can execute 442,010 teraFLOPs.​

“Every day, about 317 million new viruses are discovered.​

“Microsoft’s founder, the infamous Bill Gates, was actually a college dropout."​

Did you know?​

“On average, a human blinks 20 times per minute, but using a computer reduces it to 7."​

Did you know?​

“The most common password for a computer and social media platforms is 123456."​

Did you know?​

“There are eight varieties of computers: mainframe, supercomputer, workstation, personal computer, Apple Macintosh, laptop, tablet, and smartphone."​

Did you know?​

“Linux leads the industry as it is used by Google, Facebook, Twitter, and Amazon."​

Did you know?​

“NASA computers were hijacked by a 15-year-old, resulting in a 21-day halt."​

Did you know?​

“You may heat a room with Gaming PCs more effectively than a heater."​

Did you know?​

“Physical money accounts for just around 10% of global cash, while the rest is stored on computers."​

Currently reading:
USDJPY - Correction or Reload Before the Next Push? (1 Viewer)

Current Price Context

Technical Analysis

Support Levels

Resistance Levels

Indicators

Fundamental Drivers

Price Action Scenarios

Scenario 1 — Correction

Scenario 2 — Reload / Bullish Continuation

Trading Strategy Ideas

Summary

"S'all Good, Man."

"Perfection Is The Enemy Of Perfectly Adequate."

"Money Is The Point!"

"I Travel In Worlds You Can't Even Imagine."

"Say Nothing, You Understand? Get A Lawyer!"

“Confidence is good. Facts on your side, better.”

“Facts are facts.”

“Sometimes the good guys win.”

“I’m not good at building shit, you know? I’m excellent at tearing it down.”

“Money is not beside the point… Money is the point.”

“Whoa, whoa. Hold up. What the hell happened to you? I get it, the first rule of Fight Club, right?”

“A good magician never reveals his secrets.”

“Got to look successful to be successful.”

“The lesson is, if you’re gonna be a criminal, do your homework.”

“If I had to do it all over again, I would maybe do some things differently. I just thought you should know that.”

“Some men aren't looking for anything logical. They can't be bought, bullied, reasoned or negotiated with. Some men just want to watch the world burn.”

"Ernest Hemingway once wrote, "The world is a fine place and worth fighting for." I agree with the second part."

“There’s no better way to destroy someone’s life than to uncover their secrets.”

“Hackers are breaking the systems for profit. Before, it was about intellectual curiosity and pursuit of knowledge and thrill, and now hacking is big business.”

“Hackers often describe what they do as playfully creative problem-solving.”

“Computer hackers do not need to know each other’s real names, or even live on the same continent, to steal millions in mere hours."

“While many hackers have the knowledge, skills, and tools to attack computer systems, they generally lack the motivation to cause violence or severe economic or social harm.”

“Very smart people are often tricked by hackers, by phishing. I don’t exclude myself from that. It’s about being smarter than a hacker. Not about being smart.”

“At the end of the day, my goal was to be the best hacker.”

“Humiliation is the favorite currency of the hacker.”

“The hacker didn’t succeed through sophistication. Rather he poked at obvious places, trying to enter through unlocked doors. Persistence, not wizardry, let him through.”

"Rules. Without Them We Live With The Animals.”

“Consider This A Professional Courtesy.”

"I've Lived My Life My Way, And I'll Die My Way."

"You stabbed the devil in the back, and forced him back into the life that he had just left."

"You Want A War, Or Do You Want To Just Give Me A Gun?"

"Leave one wolf alive and the sheep are never safe."

"When you play the game of thrones, you win or you die. There is no middle ground."

"It's not easy to see something that’s never been before: A good world."

"I believe in second chances. I don't believe in third chances."

"If you only trust the people you grew up with, you won't make many allies."

"A man with no motive is a man no one suspects. Always keep your foes confused: If they don't know who you are, what you want—they can't know what you plan to do next."

"Never forget what you are, the rest of the world will not. Wear it like armor and it can never be used to hurt you."

"I try to know as many people as I can. You never know which one you'll need."

"It's hard to put a leash on a dog once you've put a crown on its head."

“Everything before the word ‘but’ is horseshit.”

“A lion doesn’t concern himself with the opinions of a sheep.”

“Nothing FUCKS you harder than time.”

“You pray for rain, you gotta deal with the mud too. That’s a part of it.”

“I’d be more frightened by not using whatever abilities I’d been given.”

“Luck is where opportunity meets preparation.”

“If you have an enemy, then learn and know your enemy, don’t just be mad at him or her.”

“Every failed experiment is one step closer to success.”

When you work on a computer your hands travel 20 kilometres a day!

Fugaku supercomputer is the world’s fastest computer. The $1-billion supercomputer has 7,630,848 cores, requires 29,899 kilowatts of electricity, and can execute 442,010 teraFLOPs.

“Every day, about 317 million new viruses are discovered.

“Microsoft’s founder, the infamous Bill Gates, was actually a college dropout."

Did you know?

“On average, a human blinks 20 times per minute, but using a computer reduces it to 7."

Did you know?

“The most common password for a computer and social media platforms is 123456."

Did you know?

“There are eight varieties of computers: mainframe, supercomputer, workstation, personal computer, Apple Macintosh, laptop, tablet, and smartphone."

Did you know?

“Linux leads the industry as it is used by Google, Facebook, Twitter, and Amazon."

Did you know?

“NASA computers were hijacked by a 15-year-old, resulting in a 21-day halt."

Did you know?

“You may heat a room with Gaming PCs more effectively than a heater."

Did you know?

“Physical money accounts for just around 10% of global cash, while the rest is stored on computers."

Did you know?

“YouTube actually started as a dating website." (Oh crap xD)