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  1. RaKotU

    When are the German/ Eurozone flash HCOB PMIs and how could they affect EUR/USD?

    📆 Timing of the HCOB Flash PMIs The flash HCOB (Hamburg Commercial Bank / S&P Global) PMI data are released early each month and give a preliminary snapshot of economic activity for Germany and the wider Eurozone: 🇩🇪 German flash HCOB PMIs are typically released around 07:30 GMT (08:30 CET)...
  2. RaKotU

    EUR/USD fluctuates near highs in cautious markets ahead of a busy week

    EUR/USD Fluctuates Near Highs Ahead of a Busy Week Market theme: Cautious positioning ahead of key macro data and central bank events EUR/USD is trading near recent highs, with investors taking a measured approach as they anticipate a week packed with economic releases and central bank...
  3. RaKotU

    Euro Forecast: EUR/USD, EUR/JPY Breakout, EUR/GBP Recovery

    📈 EUR/USD Outlook: Bullish Bias with Key Levels in Focus Short-term sentiment: EUR/USD recently re-tested a major chart level, indicating renewed Euro strength against the U.S. dollar. Price action is carving out potential breakout setups on technical charts. Today’s technical analysis still...
  4. RaKotU

    EUR/USD pressured by rising US rates, eyes 1.1585/90 support – ING

    ING FX analyst Chris Turner noted on December 10, 2025 (pre-FOMC), that EUR/USD was pressured by rising US rates amid FOMC anticipation, with near-term support eyed at 1.1585/90. This reflected caution on higher yields capping euro gains, alongside eurozone fiscal/geopolitical factors (e.g...
    • RaKotU
    • Thread
    • 18 512 eur eyes ing rates support usd ⚫️ 1
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    • Forum: Analysis & Ideas
  5. RaKotU

    EUR/USD hits 8-week high near 1.1700 propelled by Fed’s dovish cut

    EUR/USD has surged to an 8-week high near the 1.1700 handle, propelled by the Federal Reserve's December 10, 2025 "dovish cut" (25 bps to 3.50%-3.75%). Markets interpreted the guidance—emphasizing the "extent and timing" of future adjustments and shift to maintaining ample reserves—as signaling...
  6. RaKotU

    EUR/USD remains firm with US Jobless Claims data on tap

    EUR/USD has shown remarkable firmness over the weekend (markets closed December 13-14), with futures pointing to prices holding steady around 1.1730–1.1740. This resilience persists amid broader USD weakness following the December 10 FOMC rate cut and hawkish dot plot revisions, with markets now...
  7. RaKotU

    EUR/USD pressured by rising US rates, eyes 1.1585/90 support – ING

    EUR/USD Analysis EUR/USD remains under downside pressure as rising US yields and expectations of a cautious Fed weigh on the pair. ING notes that the next key support zone sits at 1.1585/90, a level that has acted as a structural floor in recent sessions. Market Drivers US yields rising...
    • RaKotU
    • Thread
    • 18 512 eur eyes ing rates support usd ⚫️ 1
    • Replies: 0
    • Forum: Analysis & Ideas
  8. RaKotU

    EUR/USD steady as markets gear up for Fed decision, Powell´s guidance

    🔎 Market Context EUR/USD is trading sideways, reflecting cautious positioning ahead of the Federal Reserve rate decision. Investors are waiting for Powell’s forward guidance, which could signal: Future rate cuts Pace of monetary policy adjustments Fed’s outlook on inflation and growth With no...
  9. batool09

    🔎 Major Currency Pair Analysis for 2026 EUR/USD

    Why it matters: The most traded pair globally. 2026 Outlook: European Central Bank’s digital euro rollout and US interest rate cycles will dominate. Strategy Tip: Watch ECB press conferences and US Federal Reserve meetings. GBP/USD Why it matters: Known as “Cable,” highly volatile. 2026...
  10. RaKotU

    EUR/USD Price Map: Intraday Scenarios

    Market Structure EUR/USD is trading inside a tight range, with both buyers and sellers defending key levels. Intraday movement will depend on liquidity bursts, U.S. data, and short-term dollar sentiment. --- Bullish Intraday Scenario (Upside Path) EUR/USD can push higher if buyers hold the...
  11. black angle

    Final Trade Plan: EUR/USD Parity by January 20, 2026

    EUR/USD is on a clear path toward parity, and the November 11, 2025 COT report provides a roadmap for traders. Combining COT positioning, liquidity mapping, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), multi-timeframe analysis, and psychological levels, this final trade plan outlines how to ride the trend safely and...
  12. black angle

    How Stepwise Liquidity and Psychological Levels Drive EUR/USD to Parity

    EUR/USD’s journey to parity is shaped by stepwise liquidity zones and psychological price levels. Combining the November 11, 2025 COT data with institutional behavior analysis helps traders anticipate each leg of the downtrend and execute high-probability short trades. 1. Understanding Stepwise...
  13. black angle

    How Multi-Timeframe Confluence Strengthens EUR/USD Short Setups

    EUR/USD’s move toward parity is best approached through multi-timeframe confluence (MTFC). Combining the November 11, 2025 COT data with technical and liquidity analysis across multiple timeframes allows traders to align with institutional flow and maximize high-probability short trades. 1...
  14. black angle

    Combining Liquidity Mapping and FVGs for EUR/USD Shorts

    EUR/USD’s decline toward parity is heavily influenced by liquidity mapping and Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). When combined with COT positioning from November 11, 2025, these tools give traders a structured roadmap to align with institutional flow. 1. What Liquidity Mapping Reveals Liquidity mapping...
  15. black angle

    How Retail Misalignment Fuels EUR/USD Declines

    EUR/USD’s path toward parity is accelerated by retail misalignment, where the majority of small traders take positions opposite to institutional flow. The November 11, 2025 COT report reveals hedge fund shorts and dealer absorption, showing that retail longs are providing liquidity for the...
  16. black angle

    Why EUR/USD Stop Hunts Are Essential for Trend Continuation

    EUR/USD’s move toward parity is fueled in part by stop hunts, where institutions intentionally trigger clustered stops to create liquidity. The November 11, 2025 COT report shows hedge fund positioning, and understanding how stop hunts work is critical for high-probability trade setups. 1. What...
  17. black angle

    Using Multi-Leg Analysis to Track EUR/USD Toward Parity

    EUR/USD’s move to parity is structured as a multi-leg downtrend, with each leg targeting key liquidity zones. Combining COT data from November 11, 2025, with Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and liquidity mapping allows traders to plan entries and exits across each leg effectively. 1. Understanding...
  18. black angle

    How Hedge Fund Positioning Creates Predictable EUR/USD Pullbacks

    EUR/USD’s move toward parity is not linear—it includes controlled pullbacks that create high-probability trade opportunities. The November 11, 2025 COT report shows how hedge fund positioning shapes these pullbacks, giving traders a roadmap to enter with minimal risk. 1. Why Pullbacks Occur in...
  19. black angle

    How Liquidity Magnets Guide EUR/USD Toward Parity

    EUR/USD’s path to parity is not random; it follows liquidity magnets—zones where institutional traders know liquidity is concentrated. The November 11, 2025 COT report shows hedge fund positioning, and combining this with liquidity mapping gives a roadmap for high-probability trades. 1. What...
  20. black angle

    How Macro Events Can Accelerate EUR/USD’s Path to Parity

    EUR/USD is not only driven by technical levels, COT positioning, and liquidity—it is also highly sensitive to macro events. The November 11, 2025 COT report shows institutional positioning, but understanding how scheduled and unscheduled events can accelerate the trend helps traders anticipate...
  21. black angle

    The Role of Stop-Loss Clusters in Driving EUR/USD Toward Parity

    One of the most powerful drivers of EUR/USD’s decline toward parity is the presence of stop-loss clusters. The November 11, 2025 COT report combined with price structure reveals how institutional traders exploit these clusters to create liquidity and accelerate the trend. 1. What Stop-Loss...
  22. black angle

    How Macro Hedging Accelerates EUR/USD Declines

    EUR/USD’s path to parity is amplified by macro hedging flows. Large institutions, sovereign funds, and corporations hedge FX exposure strategically, and these flows often align with the COT positioning revealed on November 11, 2025. Understanding how hedging accelerates the EUR/USD decline...
  23. black angle

    Stepwise Targeting: How to Scale EUR/USD Shorts Toward Parity

    EUR/USD’s path to parity is not a single explosive move—it is a controlled, stepwise decline. Combining the November 11, 2025 COT report with liquidity mapping and Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) allows traders to scale positions strategically, managing risk while aligning with institutional flow. 1...
  24. black angle

    Why Fair Value Gap Mitigation Confirms Institutional Short Entries in EUR/USD

    Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are one of the most reliable ways to trade alongside institutions, particularly in trending markets like EUR/USD heading toward parity. Combined with the November 11, 2025 COT report, FVGs reveal where smart money enters short positions and how traders can align with...
  25. black angle

    Using Multi-Timeframe Analysis to Align With EUR/USD Institutional Flow

    Trading EUR/USD toward parity requires more than just understanding COT data or macro fundamentals. Multi-timeframe analysis (MTFA) allows traders to align with institutional flow while identifying optimal entries and liquidity zones. The November 11, 2025 COT report gives the positioning...
  26. black angle

    How Macro Fundamentals Amplify EUR/USD’s Slide Toward Parity

    EUR/USD’s path toward parity isn’t just technical—it is fundamentally driven. The November 11, 2025 COT report highlights institutional positioning, but understanding macroeconomic forces explains why the euro is weakening and why parity is a logical outcome by January 20, 2026. 1. Eurozone...
  27. black angle

    How Order Flow Confirms EUR/USD’s Path Toward Parity

    Understanding order flow is essential for trading EUR/USD effectively. Price doesn’t move randomly—it moves where orders accumulate. The November 11, 2025 COT report shows that institutional positioning is heavily skewed toward EUR/USD shorts, and when combined with macro fundamentals and...
  28. black angle

    Why EUR/USD Retail Sentiment Signals Are Helping Hedge Funds, Not You

    Retail sentiment is often considered a contrarian indicator—but in the current EUR/USD downtrend, it is fuel for institutional traders. The November 11, 2025 COT report combined with sentiment data paints a clear picture: retail traders are heavily long at the wrong time, providing liquidity...
  29. black angle

    Understanding the Role of Dealer Positioning in the EUR/USD Downtrend

    While many traders focus on hedge fund and retail activity, one of the most overlooked elements in EUR/USD is dealer positioning. The November 11, 2025 COT report shows that dealers have increased their net long exposure. At first glance, this may seem bullish, but in reality, it is a hidden...
  30. black angle

    Step-by-Step EUR/USD Trade Plan Toward Parity Using COT Insights

    Trading EUR/USD in the current macro environment requires more than chart patterns—it requires aligning with institutional flows. The November 11, 2025 COT report provides clarity on where smart money is positioned and where price is likely heading. By combining COT data with technical...
  31. black angle

    How Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) Signal High-Probability EUR/USD Shorts

    One of the most underutilized tools for trading alongside smart money is Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). These gaps represent areas of inefficient price movement where liquidity resides and where institutions often target entries. When combined with COT data, FVGs give traders a high-probability roadmap...
  32. black angle

    Why Retail Traders Are Trapped as EUR/USD Moves Toward Parity

    The current EUR/USD decline is textbook in the way it traps retail traders. Many retail participants are still looking for a bottom, buying every dip, and hoping for a reversal. But the November 11, 2025 COT report shows why this hope is misplaced and how the market is engineered to take...
  33. black angle

    How Hedge Funds Are Using the COT Report to Hunt EUR/USD Liquidity

    The November 11, 2025 COT report isn’t just a snapshot of market positioning — it’s a roadmap showing where hedge funds expect EUR/USD to move next. Understanding how they use this information is key to trading alongside smart money rather than against it. 1. Hedge Funds Focus on Liquidity, Not...
  34. black angle

    How the Fed–ECB Policy Divergence Is Forcing EUR/USD Into a Downward Spiral Toward Parity

    If you want to understand why EUR/USD is collapsing — and why parity is a realistic target before January 20, 2026 — you must understand the single most important macro driver in FX: Interest rate divergence. Right now, the gap between Federal Reserve policy and European Central Bank policy is...
  35. black angle

    The Liquidity Map: Why EUR/USD Is Magnetized Toward 1.0330, 1.0100, and Parity

    One of the biggest mistakes retail traders make is assuming that price moves randomly. In reality, the FX market is engineered around liquidity — where stop-losses are clustered, where pending orders sit, and where smart money can find the volume necessary to execute large positions. EUR/USD’s...
  36. black angle

    Why EUR/USD Parity Is Not a Fantasy: The Macro Forces Driving the Collapse

    Many traders see “EUR/USD going to parity by January 20, 2026” and think it’s an exaggeration or a sensational forecast. But when you examine the underlying macro forces, the COT positioning, and the structural price action, the path toward parity becomes extremely realistic. This isn’t a random...
  37. black angle

    How COT Positioning Aligns With the EUR/USD Technical Breakdown Toward 1.0100–1.0000

    The November 11 COT report didn’t just provide institutional positioning—it aligned perfectly with what technical analysis has been signaling for weeks. Smart money flows and price action rarely move together this clearly, and when they do, it usually precedes a major directional move. Right...
  38. black angle

    Why Smart Money Keeps Shorting EUR/USD Even as Retail Tries to Call the Bottom

    If you look at the November 11 COT report, it’s very clear: smart money is aggressively shorting EUR/USD, while retail traders are—yet again—trying to catch falling knives. This divergence is one of the strongest signals that the EUR/USD decline is far from finished. Every time this pattern has...
  39. black angle

    Why EUR/USD Traders Should Pay Attention to Dealer Positioning (The Hidden Bearish Signal)

    Most traders overlook dealer positioning in the COT report. But in reality, it’s one of the strongest forward-looking indicators of a major move. In the November 11 COT release, dealers significantly increased their net long EUR exposure. This confuses inexperienced traders who assume “dealers...
  40. black angle

    The Liquidity Landscape: Why EUR/USD Is Being Pulled Toward 1.0000 Like a Magnet

    One of the most misunderstood aspects of EUR/USD right now is the liquidity landscape. Many traders believe price is falling because of “news,” but the truth is far more mechanical: price is falling because liquidity exists below, and the market is engineered to move toward it. The November 11...
  41. black angle

    EUR/USD Full Trade Plan: How to Safely Trade the Move Toward Parity (January 20, 2026 Target)

    When you’re trading a macro trend like the current EUR/USD decline, you don’t need to guess, predict candles, or fight noise on the lower timeframes. You simply need to align your strategy with institutional flows. The November 11 COT data provides exactly that alignment. It shows hedge funds...
    • black angle
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    • 2026 210 eur full how january move plan target toward trade usd ⁣how to
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    • Forum: Analysis & Ideas
  42. black angle

    How Smart Money Uses COT Data to Drive EUR/USD Lower (Nov 11, 2025 Breakdown)

    If you want to understand why EUR/USD continues to fall with such consistency, you must understand how smart money interprets and acts on COT data. The November 11, 2025 COT release gives us a window into their strategy—and it shows they’re preparing for a prolonged bearish cycle into early...
  43. black angle

    EUR/USD: Why Parity by January 20, 2026 Is a High-Probability Scenario (Full Breakdown & Trade Plan)

    Parity is a level traders love to talk about but hesitate to forecast. This time, however, the path toward 1.0000 isn’t based on hype or fear—it’s supported by strong macro fundamentals, COT positioning, liquidity structure, and price action behavior. Here’s the complete breakdown of why...
  44. black angle

    EUR/USD COT Breakdown – Understanding the November 11, 2025 Positioning (Released November 14)

    The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is one of the few tools that truly reveals what the biggest players in the market are doing behind the charts. When retail traders chase every candle with emotion, institutional traders rely on positioning, flow, and macro expectations. The November 11...
  45. RaKotU

    EUR/USD Outlook

    Bullish Scenario (Most Likely if USD Weakens Late 2025) If the Fed starts cutting rates + EU economy stabilizes: EUR/USD can rise toward 1.10 → 1.12 → 1.15 Bearish Scenario (If USD Stays Strong Longer) If inflation stays high in the US: EUR/USD may stay stuck in 1.06 – 1.09 Or even drop to...
  46. ValidMastercard

    CC Bin -» 474369 - VISA - DEBIT - CLASSIC ┣Bank -» WALLESTER AS ┣Country -» ESTONIA[EE] - ['EUR'] - 🇪🇪

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  47. ValidMastercard

    CC Bin -» 474369 - VISA - DEBIT - CLASSIC ┣Bank -» WALLESTER AS ┣Country -» ESTONIA[EE] - ['EUR'] - 🇪🇪

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    • as bank bin classic country debit ee estonia eur visa
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  48. batool09

    🌍 EUR/USD Outlook 2026: The Tug‑of‑War Between Two Giants

    ## 1. The Pair That Defines Forex EUR/USD is the most traded currency pair in the world, accounting for nearly one‑third of daily forex volume. In 2026, it remains the benchmark for global sentiment, reflecting the economic health of both Europe and the United States. Traders who master...
  49. eragon_99

    Detailed COT Breakdown – EUR/USD (November 11, 2025 data, released November 14)

    Large Speculators (hedge funds, CTAs, trend-followers) – Net position: –18,427 contracts (net SHORT for the first time since March 2020) – Change from previous week: flipped from +29,100 net long → –18,427 (a massive 47,527-contract swing lower in one week) – This is the fastest swing from net...
  50. batool09

    How to Trade Major Forex Pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY in 2025

    ### Introduction Major Forex pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY dominate the market in 2025. Trading these pairs effectively requires understanding their volatility, liquidity, and market behavior. This guide explains how to approach trading the top Forex pairs for better consistency and...
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